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PEOPLES BANCORP OF NORTH CAROLINA INC (PEBK)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 EPS was $0.65 diluted ($0.67 basic), up vs. $0.62 diluted ($0.64 basic) in Q4 2023, with drivers including higher net interest income, lower provision (a recovery), and stronger non-interest income; partially offset by higher non-interest expense .
  • Net interest margin improved sequentially and year-over-year to 3.39% (from 3.35% in Q3 2024 and 3.32% in Q4 2023) as loan yields and security yields trended favorably and deposit mix stabilized .
  • Credit remained benign: provision was a $0.205M recovery (vs. $0.405M expense in Q4 2023) as the Hurricane Helene reserve was reduced; NPAs were 0.29% of assets (vs. 0.24% at 12/31/23), ACL/loans 0.88% (vs. 1.01% at 12/31/23) .
  • Capital return momentum: regular $0.19 dividend declared for Q4 2024, a special $0.16 dividend announced in January 2025, and a new $3.0M share repurchase authorization in March 2025—potential supports for the stock .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • EPS grew year-over-year as net interest income rose to $13.81M and non-interest income increased to $7.06M; NIM expanded to 3.39% with a recovery in provision for credit losses, lifting pre-tax income to $4.59M .
    • Appraisal management fee income was a notable tailwind, rising to $3.02M in Q4 (vs. $2.12M in Q4 2023), reflecting stronger appraisal volume, also seen earlier in 2024 .
    • Management highlighted that “minimal losses are expected as a result of Hurricane Helene,” supporting the provision recovery and overall credit outlook .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Non-interest expense rose to $16.49M (vs. $14.57M in Q4 2023), driven by higher salaries/benefits (+$0.67M), appraisal management fee expense (+$0.72M), and “other” expenses (+$0.48M), including consulting and debit card fraud expense .
    • NPAs increased to $4.8M (0.29% of assets) from $3.9M (0.24%) year-over-year, with increases in residential mortgage NPAs and other real estate owned, though still low in absolute terms .
    • Effective tax rate ticked up to 22.44% (vs. 22.24% in Q4 2023); management also noted year 2024 taxes reflected deferred tax revaluation due to the phasedown of North Carolina’s corporate income tax .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Interest Income ($M)$13.27 $13.55 $13.81
Provision for Credit Losses ($M)$0.405 $0.297 $(0.205)$ (recovery)
Non-Interest Income ($M)$6.13 $7.10 $7.06
Non-Interest Expense ($M)$14.57 $15.02 $16.49
Pre-Tax Income ($M)$4.42 $5.33 $4.59
Net Earnings ($M)$3.44 $3.96 $3.56
Diluted EPS ($)$0.62 $0.72 $0.65
Net Interest Margin (tax-equivalent)3.32% 3.35% 3.39%
Effective Tax Rate22.24% 25.76% 22.44%

Non-interest income breakdown (Q4):

Non-Interest Income ($M)Q4 2023Q4 2024
Service Charges$1.42 $1.45
Other Service Charges/Fees$0.19 $0.16
Mortgage Banking Income$0.10 $0.09
Insurance & Brokerage$0.20 $0.27
Appraisal Mgmt. Fee Income$2.12 $3.02
Miscellaneous$2.10 $2.06
Total Non-Interest Income$6.13 $7.06

Key performance indicators (period-end):

KPIDec 31, 2023Sep 30, 2024Dec 31, 2024
Total Assets ($B)$1.636 $1.662 $1.652
Total Loans ($B)$1.093 $1.124 $1.138
Total Deposits ($B)$1.392 $1.480 $1.485
Core Deposits ($B, % of deposits)$1.24 (89.30%) $1.34 (90.30%) $1.34 (90.17%)
NPAs ($M, % of assets)$3.9 (0.24%) $3.9 (0.24%) $4.8 (0.29%)
ACL / Loans (%)1.01% 0.94% 0.88%
Securities Sold Under Repo ($M)$86.7 $8.4 $0.0

KPIs (Q4 run-rate):

KPIQ4 2023Q4 2024
ROAA0.84% 0.85%
ROAE12.72% 10.77%

Note: PEBK does not report segment financials; appraisal management is a major fee line item rather than a reportable segment .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Regular Cash DividendQ4 2024$0.19 per share (maintained)$0.19 per share (paid Dec 13, 2024 to holders of record Dec 3)Maintained
Special Cash Dividend1Q25 (declared Jan 17, 2025)N/A$0.16 per share (paid Feb 14, 2025)New special dividend
Regular Cash Dividend1Q25$0.19 per share$0.20 per share (to be paid Mar 14, 2025)Raised
Share Repurchase AuthorizationAnnounced Mar 13, 2025None announcedUp to $3.0M authorizationNew program

No formal quantitative guidance was provided on revenue, margins, OpEx, or tax beyond commentary on tax effects and balance sheet/capital actions .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was available in the document set or via our search; analysis below uses management commentary from earnings releases.

TopicQ2 2024 (prior two quarters)Q3 2024 (prior quarter)Q4 2024 (current)Trend
Interest Rate Environment/NIMNIM 3.34%; higher asset yields offset by higher deposit costs; Fed rate impact on loans/securities yields noted .NIM 3.35%; similar dynamics; rising time deposits and deposit rates pressured funding costs .NIM 3.39%; further sequential improvement; variable-rate securities and loan growth supported interest income .Improving sequential NIM.
Credit/ProvisionProvision recovery ($0.468M) on reduced construction loan reserves; ACL/loans 0.90% .Provision $0.297M; added $0.669M Helene reserve; ACL/loans 0.94% .Provision recovery ($0.205M) as Helene reserve reduced to $60K (from $669K); ACL/loans 0.88% .Provision normalized; Helene reserve largely unwound.
Appraisal Management FeesIncome up $0.59M YoY; expense up $0.47M YoY (volume-driven) .Income +$0.29M YoY; expense +$0.25M YoY (volume-driven) .Income +$0.90M YoY; expense +$0.72M YoY (volume-driven) .Strong fee tailwind, with expense follow-through.
Expenses/One-offsHigher comp, appraisal expense, consulting/debit card expense .Occupancy included $0.362M write-off tied to branch closure; higher consulting .Higher comp (salary/SERP), appraisal expense, consulting/debit card fraud costs .Elevated noninterest expenses; some one-time items earlier.
Deposits/FundingTotal deposits $1.48B; ICS usage rising; core deposits 90.02% .$1.48B deposits; ICS shift continued; repo balances dropped materially .$1.485B deposits; core deposits 90.17%; repos moved to $0 via ICS .Stable deposits; funding mix improving via ICS.
Taxes/PolicyQ2 ETR ~22%; normal .ETR elevated (25.76%) due to NC deferred tax revaluation .ETR ~22.44%; 2024 reflects NC tax rate phasedown .One-time Q3 tax effect; normalized thereafter.

Management Commentary

  • “Net earnings were $3.6 million… for the three months ended December 31, 2024… attributed… to an increase in net interest income, a decrease in the provision for credit losses and an increase in non-interest income… partially offset by an increase in non-interest expense” — William D. Cable, Sr., President & CEO .
  • “The decrease in the provision… is primarily attributable to a $609,000 decrease in the reserve for losses associated with Hurricane Helene… Minimal losses are expected as a result of Hurricane Helene.” .
  • “The effective tax rate was 21.86% for the year ended December 31, 2024… reflects the revaluation of the deferred tax asset due to planned reductions in the North Carolina corporate income tax rate…” .
  • “Securities sold under agreements to repurchase were zero at December 31, 2024, compared to $86.7 million at December 31, 2023,” with customers shifting to ICS deposits .

Q&A Highlights

  • No public Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was available; no Q&A to report based on the document set reviewed (8-K/press releases) and document search results showed no transcript for PEBK in the period.

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates could not be retrieved due to an access limit; as a result, we cannot present objective “vs. consensus” comparisons for Q4 2024. This may reflect limited or no published Street coverage and/or temporary data access constraints (SPGI daily request limit exceeded). Where estimates are unavailable, investors should rely on actuals and operating trend analysis presented above [GetEstimates errors].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Earnings quality improved with a provision recovery and NIM expansion; the Helene-related reserve largely unwound, supporting a stable credit narrative into 2025 .
  • Fee momentum from appraisal management remains a differentiator, though it carries associated expense growth; monitoring net contribution from this line is key .
  • Expense discipline bears watching after multi-quarter increases (comp, appraisal-related, consulting, fraud costs); any normalization could drive operating leverage .
  • Funding mix is improving: core deposits are ~90% of total; repurchase agreements moved to $0 as clients migrated to ICS—beneficial for liquidity optics and cost of funds .
  • Capital return stepped up through a special dividend and new $3.0M buyback authorization; together with regular dividends, this underpins shareholder yield and could support valuation .
  • With limited Street estimate visibility, trading likely keys off realized NIM, expense trajectory, credit quality, and capital return cadence; the setup looks constructive if funding costs remain contained and fees stay resilient .

Sources

  • Q4 2024 8-K and press release (including financial statements and highlights) .
  • Q3 2024 8-K and press release (comparatives, balance sheet trends, one-off items) .
  • Q2 2024 8-K and press release (comparatives and fee/expense dynamics) .
  • Other relevant press releases for Q4 period and shortly after: Q4 2024 dividend (Nov 22, 2024) ; special dividend (Jan 17, 2025) ; Q1 2025 dividend (Feb 21, 2025) ; $3.0M repurchase authorization (Mar 13, 2025) .